Trade Deficit

Play Trade Balance Tug Of War →

What Is Trade Deficit?

A trade deficit occurs when a country imports more goods and services than it exports over a given period, so its balance of trade is negative. It is the opposite of a trade surplus. The figure is an accounting balance, not a profit-and-loss statement, which is why economists caution that a trade deficit is not automatically evidence that a country is 'losing' at trade. A deficit in the current account is generally mirrored by a surplus in the financial account, meaning it is financed by investment inflows from abroad. The United States, for example, has run a persistent deficit in goods trade for decades while generally running a surplus in services trade.

Why It Matters

Trade deficits are among the most misunderstood figures in economics. Because a deficit is matched by capital flowing in, it reflects a country's role as a destination for foreign investment as much as its buying habits. All else equal, a trade deficit tends to widen when a country's domestic economy grows much faster than its trading partners', because rising domestic income pulls in more imports, so a large deficit can accompany a strong economy. Exchange rates matter too: a stronger domestic currency makes imports cheaper and can enlarge the deficit. Political debate often treats deficits as a scorecard of national success, but the underlying identity, that the current and financial accounts offset each other, means the picture is more complicated than a simple win or loss.

Test Your Knowledge

Questions on this topic from the EconRecall fact bank: