Why the Economics Nobel Was Created — and What It Changed
Play Nobel Laureate Timeline →
What Led to the Prize Being Created
- An anniversary with a budget: Sveriges Riksbank reached its three-hundredth year in 1968 and marked it with a donation to the Nobel Foundation, which is the immediate and documented origin of the prize.
- A discipline seeking scientific standing: Post-war economics had become heavily mathematical and statistical, and association with the physics and chemistry prizes reinforced a claim to be a science rather than a branch of political philosophy.
- Post-war policy prominence: National income accounting, macroeconomic management and central planning debates had made economists visible in government to an unprecedented degree.
- An existing institutional home: The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences already ran two prize selections, so administering a third required no new machinery.
- Swedish domestic context: The Riksbank was engaged in long-running arguments about its independence from government, and some historians read the endowment in that light — a reading that is plausible and widely discussed rather than settled.
What the Prize Changed for Economics
- Public visibility: A named annual award gave journalists a reliable hook, and laureates acquired a platform far beyond the profession.
- Canon formation: Citations by the Academy function as an authoritative summary of what the field considers important, which shapes syllabuses and textbook coverage.
- Legitimation of new subfields: The awards to Simon (1978), Kahneman and Vernon Smith (2002) and Thaler (2017) each certified an approach that had previously been treated as marginal.
- Rehabilitation of older work: Coase's key papers were published in 1937 and 1960 and Nash's in the early 1950s; the prizes arrived decades later and revived attention to both.
- Methodological signalling: The run of awards from 2019 to 2021 for field experiments and natural experiments marked the credibility revolution in empirical economics as the discipline's centre of gravity.
- Concentration effects: A large share of laureates has come from a small number of institutions, which critics argue reinforces existing hierarchies rather than merely reflecting them.
The Criticisms It Attracted
- The name: The prize is routinely called the Nobel Prize in Economics even though it was not created by Alfred Nobel's will, and the Nobel Foundation itself distinguishes it from the original five.
- Objections from the Nobel family: Members of the family, including the human rights lawyer Peter Nobel, a descendant of Alfred's brother Ludvig, have publicly objected to the association.
- Doubts from laureates themselves: Friedrich Hayek used his 1974 banquet speech to say he would have advised against establishing the prize, on the grounds that it confers on an individual economist an authority no economist should hold. Gunnar Myrdal, his co-laureate, later argued it should be abolished.
- The scientific-status question: Critics argue that economics lacks the settled consensus of the natural sciences, pointing to 2013, when Eugene Fama and Robert Shiller shared a prize despite disagreeing about whether asset prices can be predictably wrong.
- Narrow demographics: Only three women had received the prize as of 2023, and the laureate pool has been heavily concentrated in a few countries.
What the Prize Does and Does Not Certify
It is worth being precise about what an award of this kind can establish. The Academy's citation identifies a body of work judged to have changed how economists analyse a problem; it does not certify that the work is correct, still less that its policy implications are sound. The 1997 prize for options pricing went to Robert Merton and Myron Scholes shortly before the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management, a fund with which both were associated — a sequence often cited by critics, though the pricing model itself remains standard. The 2013 award to Fama and Shiller placed two incompatible readings of asset price behaviour on the same platform. Read carefully, the prize is a record of which questions the discipline has decided are central, which makes it a useful map of the field's history and a poor substitute for judging any particular argument on its merits.